How Can Bashir be Arrested?
I am in total agreement with you that the arrest and indictment of Omer El-Bashir will not bring peace to Sudan or bring an end to the problem of Darfur, however, I will not deny that I welcomed the decision of the ICC, and will definitely appreciate and celebrate the arrest of El-Bashir because of his role and responsibility, as president and commander in chief, in what is happening in Sudan in general, and in Darfur in specific. His arrest will also send a very clear message to his likes and sets the route for the other officials to be brought to justice in a similar mode. On the other hand, I am quite aware that, the failure to arrest El-Bashir, after this warrant, will have disastrous effects on justice and will drastically erode the credibility of the ICC.
Since the issuing of the arrest warrant, the government of Sudan had repeatedly indicated that they don’t care about this warrant and that El-Bashir will not change his travel plans to attend some meetings outside of Sudan. In this regard, I would like to ask for clarification about the possibility of three scenarios and what legal and other grounds that can make them possible or impossible:
(1) Interception of the presidential plane by some jet fighter fighters while Omer El-Bashir is traveling outside of Sudan and while flying in the skies of a country that signed the ICC agreement.
(2) A case similar to “Operation Just Cause” on 12/20/1989 to invade (on very small scale) and arrest President Noriega of Panama, whereby some secret service agents could plan and implement a covert operation to arrest El-Bashir inside of Sudan and take him to the ICC.
(3) The international community scales up support to some opposition factions to topple the government in Sudan, replace it, and hand over Omer El-Bashir to the ICC.